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Aug 25 - 08:55 PM

EUR/USD - Consensus On September Cuts, But Will The Fed Surprise?

By Andrew M Spencer  —  Aug 25 - 08:00 PM
  • Steady early after closing up 0.7% with the US dollar down 0.75%

  • Yield spreads tightened, 10yr UST -4bp 3.807%, 10yr bund -2bp 2.223%

  • ECB policymakers coming to a consensus on a 25-point rate cut in September

  • CME FedWatch prices a 50pt Fed September cut at 36.5% from 25% a week ago

  • Charts; positive daily momentum studies, 21-day Bollinger bands expand

  • 5, 10 & 21-day & week moving averages climb - signals remain bullish

  • 1.1086 10-day moving average and last week's 1.1012 low are key supports

  • Targets major resistance at 1.1271, 0.618% of the 2021-2022 fall

  • 1.1150/60 1.050 BLN are the close significant strikes for August 26th

    For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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