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Jan 30 - 09:55 PM

AUD/USD - Soft - Retail Sales Fall Undermines Economic Outlook

By Andrew M Spencer  —  Jan 30 - 07:50 PM

  • Off 0.3% in a knee jerk response to weak -3.9% retail sales - poll -0.3%

  • RBAWATCH prices implied 4 April meeting hike at 44bp from 50bp pre data

  • Dec Private sector credit +0.3% last +0.5%, housing credit +0.3% last +0.4%

  • AUD now trades down just 0.16%, but data certainly increases downturn fears

  • Charts; negative momentum studies, 21 day Bollinger bands head higher

  • 5, 10 & 21 daily and weekly moving averages all climb - net bullish setup

  • Break of 0.7136 August high would target a test of the 0.7282 June top

  • Close below 0.6958 rising 21 day moving average would end topside bias

    For more click on FXBUZ


Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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