By Randolph Donney — May 17 - 01:20 PM
USD/JPY surged toward 2023's 138.78/90 peaks amid a broad yen slide
BoJ's negative rates and 50bp 10-yr yield cap are glaring yen weights
That as far higher Fed, ECB and BoE rates have yet peak & retreat
Also weighing on yen are rising US bank stocks, less Tsy default angst
But clearing May, March and mid-Dec's 137.78/90/8.18 highs is key
Upper 10- and 21-week Bollis are also at 138.05/14 last on EBS
Might need Thur's jobless claims drop to at least meet forecast
An upside claims miss could see tenkan and Tues's low at 135.66/68 tested
Daily, weekly & monthly buy signals eye 139.57 with a 138+ weekly close
Yen-funded carry trades aided by VIX and FX vols at low pre-Fed hike levels
For more click on FXBUZ
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary