By Andrew M Spencer — Feb 01 - 10:45 PM
Traded +0.5% with resilient risk into the RBA - and +0.2% after
Guardedly upbeat outlook, does not expect to hike rates before 2024
Extended bond buying program by another A$100 billion nRBA
In Dec GDP 5% 2021 and 4% forecast for 2022, now 2021 3.5% and 2020 3.5%
Unemployment was 7% and 6% 2022, now 6.6%, 6% in 2021 and 5.5% in 2022
WPI inflation was 1.4%, forecast 1% in 2021, 1.5% 2022, now 1.25% and 1.5%
Techs; momentum studies head lower, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs slip - negative setup
Chart suggests a move towards 0.7502, 38.2% Nov-Jan rise is viable
Close above 0.7719 21 daily moving average would end downside bias
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Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary