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May 08 - 11:55 AM

USD/CAD - Dips To 1-Month Low Amid US-CA Rate Convergence Expectations

By Paul Spirgel  —  May 08 - 10:30 AM
  • USD/CAD off early NorAm lows, +0.2% at 1.3340; Mon range 1.3389-15

  • CAD rallies to 4-week high 1.3315 just above April 14s 1.3303 trend low

  • US regional bank angst ebbing risk-friendly, Commods rise oil +2% copper +1%

  • Converging US-CA rate outlook boosts CAD, Macklem may hike if infl persists

  • $CAD supt at Mon low 1.3315, lwr 21-d Bolli 1.3300, Feb 14 low 1.3273

  • Resistance 1.3389 Mon high, 1.3448 200-DMA, 1.3491 50% Fib of 1.3668-1.3315

  • IRPR on Eikon indicates Fed rates -70bp by Dec 2023 FOMC, BoC rates -13

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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