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Aug 11 - 03:55 PM

GBP/USD - Slides After PPI Revisions Hint At Less-Dovish Fed Rate Path

By Paul Spirgel  —  Aug 11 - 01:35 PM
  • GBP$ soft into NorAm close, +0.13% at 1.2691, NY range 1.2735-1.2682

  • Pair slid from early NorAm high after U.S. PPI hints at soft-landing

  • March 2024 rate cut odds slip from 80% to 50%; high-for-longer supports USD

  • UST yield rise lifts USD broadly; US-UK rates converge weighs on GBP$

  • Sterling slides after US PPI supports soft-landing view nL1N39S143

  • Supt at Fri low 1.2667, daily cloud top 1.2665, Aug 3 trend low 1.2620

  • Res 55-DMA at 1.2734, 10-DMA 1.2741, 1.2820's 38.2% Fib of 1.3144-1.2620

  • 10-DMA set to move below 55-DMA, bearish cross adds to bearish structure

  • Aug 16's UK CPI in focus for hints at near-term BoE rate path

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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