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Nov 15 - 08:55 AM

USD/JPY - Options Target Fed And BoJ

By Richard Pace  —  Nov 15 - 07:15 AM
  • New USD/JPY recovery high 156.76 sparked verbal intervention in Asia Fri

  • FX option implied volatility increased and holds firmer levels

  • That's after minimal movement/interest after initial post US election drop

  • 1-week from 9.25 to 10.25 and 1-month up from 9.9 to 10.15 Friday

  • Risk reversals increase JPY call premium to 0.85 over JPY put

  • Shows strong inverse spot/vol corellation - wary of USD/JPY downside

  • There was renewed interest to buy post Fed, BoJ expiry options (Dec 18-19)

  • Expectations of related volatility from those outcomes, driving that demand

  • Dec 18 Fed rate cut pricing has slipped post election and now 16bps

  • BoJ hike pricing currently stands at 13.6bps. UBS raise USD/JPY forecasts

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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