By Richard Pace — Nov 15 - 07:15 AM
New USD/JPY recovery high 156.76 sparked verbal intervention in Asia Fri
FX option implied volatility increased and holds firmer levels
That's after minimal movement/interest after initial post US election drop
1-week from 9.25 to 10.25 and 1-month up from 9.9 to 10.15 Friday
Risk reversals increase JPY call premium to 0.85 over JPY put
Shows strong inverse spot/vol corellation - wary of USD/JPY downside
There was renewed interest to buy post Fed, BoJ expiry options (Dec 18-19)
Expectations of related volatility from those outcomes, driving that demand
Dec 18 Fed rate cut pricing has slipped post election and now 16bps
BoJ hike pricing currently stands at 13.6bps. UBS raise USD/JPY forecasts
For more click on FXBUZ
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary